Where Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree

Cross-platform price divergence on prediction markets. When institutional money and crypto-native traders see different odds.

Active Divergences
4
Avg Gap
22.9%
Avg Duration
0d
Kalshi Right
0%

Active Divergences

MarketCategoryPoly YESKalshi YESGapDirectionStatus
trump resign termpolitics52.5%23.0%29.5%Poly higheropen
ukraine ceasefire 2027geopolitical29.5%6.5%23.0%Poly higheropen
trump 25th amendmentpolitics52.5%31.5%21.0%Poly higheropen
trump impeachpolitics52.5%70.5%18.0%Kalshi higheropen

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Resolved Divergences — Who Was Right?

MarketPeak GapWho Was RightResolved
trump 2028 president0.2%Pending